Adhering to a high-speed, rain-delayed race at Chicagoland Speedway, the Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series continues its pedal to the metal Strategy at Daytona International Speedway this Saturday night at the Coke Zero Sugar 400.
Alex Bowman made his first Cup series victory a week and he has +1800 chances to replicate, however, it is Joey Logano and Brad Keselowski with odds of +700 who top the oddsboard.
Intertops has Logano and Keselowski as the favorites at +700 followed by Denny Hamlin at +1000, Kyle Busch, Chase Elliott and Kevin Harvick in +1100 and Kurt Busch, Ryan Blaney and Clint Bowyer in +1400 to round out the top drivers on the oddsboard.
Ford has won five of the last 10 races in Daytona and Toyota has won three runnings over that span, including the last two in a row, while Chevrolet has just two victories.
There hasn’t been a repeat winner at this track since Jimmie Johnson did thus from the 2 races in 2013. Denny Hamlin appears to become the most recent driver to do it as he won the Daytona 500 in February.
Just once over the past 17 races at Daytona has the winner started on the pole which was Dale Earnhardt Jr. at 2015. The typical starting place for the motorist who carried the checkered flag over that interval was 12.53.
Alex Bowman (+1800) picked up the first checkered flag of his Cup series career last week at Chicagoland and has had great qualifying rate at Daytona recently. He’s begun first or second in each of the past three runnings in this course, but has completed 10th or worse, so until he will find the same speed from the race, I’ll stay away.
Logano (+700) has had greater success during the Daytona 500 than he has in the midseason race at this course. From the 500, he’s an average finish position of 13.28, including winning in 2015, but he has an average finish position of 21.2 from the July race, and it has crashed in each of the last two runnings.
Keselowski (+700) has experienced a string of terrible luck at Daytona lately, with dropped in four of the past five races there, but six races ago at this course, he drove to victory lane. He has five wins at Talladega, another restrictor-plate monitor, so that he knows how to compete in these races. Start looking for him to be in the search Saturday night.
Kyle Busch (+1100) less a favorite seems like an automatic bet, but Daytona has become the better of him most of his career. Busch won the July race in 2008, marking the only time he has driven to victory lane at Daytona, and he’s just three top-five finishes there on the past 14 races, however he was the runner-up in this year’s Daytona 500.
I’ve been evaporating Kevin Harvick (+1100) all season long since he had not shown evidence of his former leading self until last week. He looked powerful at Chicagoland, leading 132 of the 267 laps, but ultimately finished 14th. Harvick has dropped in four of those five races in Daytona since switching to Ford in 2017 but he led multiple laps in three of these runnings. Assuming he keeps his nose clean, this could be a good place for Harvick.